Game Overview
Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos
Thursday Night Football
Kickoff 8:15 PM ET
Empower Field at Mile High in Denver.
Two division rivals meeting under bright lights.
Denver is 7-2, riding 6 game winning streak
Vegas is 2-6, on the brink of a catastrophic season.
Broncos
Are humming. Their defense has been elite (279.9 yards allowed per game 3rd best in NFL) their offense is middle of the pack statistically but is effective.
Raiders
If you’re Vegas you’re looking at this as a must win to salvage something.
Their offense ranks near last in multiple categories:
Total Offense 30th
Rush 29th
Pass 24th.
Points per game: 16.5 (29th).
They lost narrowly last week (30-29 OT to the Jaguars)
there’s talent but they havent seemed to put it together
The Broncos have the confidence and momentum. The Raiders have the “we gotta wake up or we’re done” weight on their shoulders.
Division impact
Denver sees this as an opportunity to further establish itself atop the AFC West
they’re leading the division currently
History
The Broncos Raiders rivalry goes deep All time regular season series: Raiders lead 72-55-2.
Recently
Denver swept Las Vegas in 2024 (34-18 at home, 29-19 on the road).
Home advantage
Denver owns the longest active home winning streak in the league (at least nine straight wins at home, including into this season).
Injury Report
Raiders
Out: QB Aidan O’Connell (wrist).
Questionable: S Lonnie Johnson (fibula),
S Isaiah Pola-Mao (hip),
DT Adam Butler (back).
Broncos
TE Nate Adkins (knee)
S P.J. Locke (neck)
WR Marvin Mims Jr. (concussion),
CB Pat Surtain II (pectoral).
Limited
OLB Jonathon Cooper (thumb),
DL John Franklin Myers (shoulder),
DT D.J. Jones (knee)
While Denver has some depth concerns, Vegas quarterback situation/oline struggle and other question marks give Denver an extra edge.
Strengths & Weaknesses
Denver Broncos
Strengths
Defense
Top-5 in fewest yards allowed (~279.9 ypg).
Rush offense
133.6 yards per game (7th in NFL)
Home field: Major advantage.
Weaknesses
Passing offense: 213.8 yards per game (17th)
Some injuries in secondary/receiver corps
Las Vegas Raiders
Strengths
Emerging TE Brock Bowers had a great return last week (12 catches, 127 yards, 3 TDs)
Motivated
Behind the curve, so they play with urgency.
Weaknesses
Everything.
X Factors
Bo Nix
The young QB is settling in. If he continues to process quickly and avoid mistakes, Denver will have an edge.
Brock Bowers
when healthy and targeted, he could force Denver’s defense to adjust. That alone could open up other parts of Vegas' offense.
Rush game/lack thereof for Raiders
If Vegas cannot run or protect well, Denver’s defense will feast on third downs.
Third down conversions & red zone efficiency
Key late game moments often decide primetime games. Denver converts well in the red zone leading the NFL in 4.2 rushing yards per attempt in the red zone
Short week/travel fatigue
Less sleep, less prep.
momentum & crowd noise:
After a start to the season like this the home crowd energized.
For Vegas must flip the script quickly or risk getting blown out.
Betting Corner
Spread
Broncos favored by about -9 or 9.5
Total
Around 42.5 points.
Props to watch
Brock Bowers TD
Will Bo Nix over his passing yards
Under total could be smart Vegas offense struggles, Denver defense strong might be a lower scoring game than some expect.
What To Watch During The Game
Early drives
First quarter third down and red zone efficiency
Half time adjustments
momentum swings
Late game fatigue
10. Prediction & Final Take
We lean Denver Broncos to win, and I expect them to do it fairly convincingly. Their defense, home field, and better form give them too many advantages. Vegas overall offense and travel burden make them vulnerable. I’d say the final score around Denver 31, Las Vegas 10 there is still good risk-value in taking the raiders to cover or win out right.
We lean Denver Broncos to win, and I expect them to do it fairly convincingly. Their defense, home field, and better form give them too many advantages. Vegas overall offense and travel burden make them vulnerable. I’d say the final score around Denver 31, Las Vegas 10 there is still good risk-value in taking the raiders to cover or win out right.